War in Europe

In July I promised to write on “the EU ‘superstate’ and its risks of war”. In the mean time the EU has received the Nobel Peace Prize, so apparently my thoughts are not completely out of sync. The problem however is war and not peace.

War is surely a high priority subject. However, I gave priority to completing the book Common Sense: Boycott Holland. When that was done another priority inserted itself, and that was the book The simple mathematics of Jesus, now completed as well. Perhaps you might agree that God deserves priority over war, especially since wars are frequently fought over God. Perhaps you might also agree that mathematics deserves priority over war, though it happens less frequently that wars are fought over mathematics.

I don’t claim any particular knowledge about war except for economic insight (see e.g. here). I suppose I know as much as anyone of the anonymous millions of potential victims about how horrible war can be. A not too distant relative is general Wouter Cool, minister of war in 1909-1911, which ministry now is called defence, presumably more fitting to its original task.

Now, following Caesar: The EU is divided in three parts: (1) North and South are divided by the Rhine between German and Roman cultures, (2) East and West are divided by the history of the Eastern and Western Roman empires, (3) There is a remainder that collects all other divisions, such as rich and poor, young and old, men and women, well-educated and less-educated, hard-working and happy-go-lucky, and so on.

Freddy Heineken, of the beer company (to be boycotted as well), developed a map of Europe, Eurotopia, where all regions with some historical and cultural unity are allowed more independence, and then integrated in the EU rather than in current nations. It is an enticing concept that clarifies that the current national structures are somewhat artificial compared to the much longer European history. A small point of critique is that an optimal allocation might cause even smaller units.

The point is that the EU puts pressure on this continent and its isles like an elephant in a China room. Its economic policy is misguided, and brings countries and regions to collapse. The euro is the new gold, the new mammon, and the EU sacrifices its youth in blind worship. If this policy continues, it is not inconceivable that violence will increase as well. The Banlieuex are not far from the center of Paris. Slogans about dominant Northerners and lazy Southerners might easily develop a dynamics of themselves.

Economics and politics mix. There is now talk about independence of Scotland and Catalunya. Perhaps London is willing to let Scotland go, but Spain might block Scottish membership of the EU for fear that this will set a precedent for Catalunya, and the Catalans might not accept this.

When the EU went to Oslo to collect the Nobel Prize, the current EU presidency by Cyprus was excluded from the three other presidents Van Rompuy, Barroso and Schulz, and one can understand that Christofias, the president of the Cyprus, decided to stay home.

And so on.

It is now inconceivable that there will be a full blown war again on the continent. Yet we already see violence in the streets in various parts. We are at risk of much more violence. Once the peaceful frame of mind switches to the regime of violence then the inconceivable will be discussed again. The crucial point is that the EU will be discredited. Once the EU is no longer the solution but people see it as part of the problem, we are back to square 1.

Northern Europeans tend to regard the Balkan as a rebellious region. They tend to forget that the whole of Europe is a Big Balkan. The war in Yugoslavia started when the IMF began to claim redemption of its loans. In the Cold War the country got easy credit to keep the Soviets out. When the Cold War ended, the IMF thought that it was time to pay back. Milosevic turned from communism to nationalism to keep in power. The IMF and EU are triggering similar processes right now.

The conclusion is: boycott Holland, remove the censorship of economic science, and let the peoples of Europe decide in freedom but also with sound information about their best economic policies. Put a stop to the illusions that now lead to violence and perhaps even war in a more distant future. Please be aware that I present a new economic analysis that allows monetary union without the fiscal union and transfer of sovereignty that now is on the table.

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